Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Naga Siren vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Naga Siren in 51.32% of 3,455 ranked matches.
Fighting into a late-game Phantom Lancer army often comes down to who has better area-of-effect damage. Naga Siren has a natural answer with Riptide, which constantly wears down his fragile illusions and makes it harder for him to build a critical mass. On the other hand, Phantom Lancer doesn't have a great innate way to deal with Naga's tankier illusions. He has to focus them down one by one, which buys her a lot of time to deal damage or farm elsewhere. His main goal is always to find the real hero, which is where the matchup really begins.
The result is a tense farm-off where both carries are trying to hit their item timings before committing to a fight. Phantom Lancer's goal is to use his mobility from Phantom Rush and Doppelganger to find and burst the real Naga before her illusions overwhelm him. In response, Naga Siren can use Song of the Siren as a panic button to escape or to reset a fight her team is losing. It often boils down to which hero gets the better initiation and item advantage, as a well-timed jump or a crucial defensive item can decide the engagement entirely.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Naga Siren's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Naga Siren win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 46.92% | 422 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.62% | 545 |
| Legend & Ancient | 47.74% | 243 |
Naga Siren's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Naga Siren win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.68% | ▼ -0.3pp | 3,455 |
| 7.41d | 48.98% | ▼ -1.4pp | 42,240 |
| 7.41c | 50.37% | ▲ +0.3pp | 19,536 |
| 7.41b | 50.09% | — | 21,017 |
Move this data into a draft
Naga Siren starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.