Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Phantom Lancer vs Tiny matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Tiny in 54.66% of 7,216 ranked matches.
Trying to burst the right hero is central to how Tiny plays, but Phantom Lancer makes that nearly impossible. Tiny wants to isolate one target with Toss and follow up with his damage combo. Against a screen full of Juxtapose illusions, he’s often forced to guess, wasting his entire spell rotation on a fake. A quick Doppelganger from Phantom Lancer can also completely dodge the incoming burst, leaving Tiny with long cooldowns and no way to defend himself as the real Lancer and his army close in.
This dynamic only gets worse for Tiny as the game progresses. Phantom Lancer wants to create chaos and overwhelm single-target heroes, and Tiny has no effective way to clear the illusion swarm. Once PL has items that let him stick to a target, he can run at Tiny, burn his mana, and isolate him from his team. Tiny is forced to rely on his allies to provide the area-of-effect lockdown and damage needed to find the real Lancer, a task that becomes harder the more farmed Phantom Lancer gets.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Phantom Lancer's win rate against Tiny in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Phantom Lancer win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 52.84% | 564 |
| Crusader & Archon | 51.25% | 1,042 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.69% | 793 |
| Divine & Immortal | 50.99% | 406 |
Phantom Lancer's win rate against Tiny in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Phantom Lancer win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 54.66% | ▲ +0.2pp | 7,216 |
| 7.41d | 54.41% | ▲ +0.2pp | 95,647 |
| 7.41c | 54.17% | ▲ +1.1pp | 55,160 |
| 7.41b | 53.07% | — | 51,746 |
Move this data into a draft
Phantom Lancer starts on Radiant and Tiny on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.