Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Phantom Lancer vs Ursa matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Ursa in 55.30% of 1,141 ranked matches.
Getting jumped by Phantom Lancer is a uniquely frustrating experience for Ursa. Everything about Ursa's kit is designed to stack Fury Swipes on a single hero and burst them down with Overpower. Against Phantom Lancer, he can't do that. His attacks get wasted on illusions that die in one or two hits, resetting his damage ramp and doing nothing to the real threat. Ursa has no reliable way to clear the clones, and each time he guesses wrong, he's taking damage and getting his mana burned by a growing army of illusions.
This dynamic dictates the entire game. Ursa has a small window to get ahead before Phantom Lancer gets his core items and starts creating copies. After that point, Ursa becomes almost useless in a direct fight. He blinks in for a kill, hits an illusion, and gets swarmed. To have any chance, Ursa is forced to buy items with cleave or chain lightning that delay his normal build, while Phantom Lancer gets to build his standard items and roll over the game.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Phantom Lancer's win rate against Ursa in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Phantom Lancer win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 56.06% | 578 |
| Crusader & Archon | 54.80% | 1,208 |
| Legend & Ancient | 53.86% | 791 |
| Divine & Immortal | 56.92% | 253 |
Phantom Lancer's win rate against Ursa in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Phantom Lancer win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 55.30% | ▼ -2.3pp | 1,141 |
| 7.41d | 57.65% | ▼ -0.2pp | 101,989 |
| 7.41c | 57.87% | ▲ +0.2pp | 53,778 |
| 7.41b | 57.71% | — | 52,595 |
Move this data into a draft
Phantom Lancer starts on Radiant and Ursa on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.