Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Spectre wins the Timbersaw vs Spectre matchup: Spectre beats Timbersaw in 57.54% of 796 ranked matches.
Trying to burst Spectre with Whirling Death and Chakram is often a death sentence for Timbersaw himself. Spectre's Dispersion reflects a portion of incoming damage back before any reductions, meaning Timbersaw's own pure damage output shreds his relatively small health pool. His Reactive Armor provides no protection from this. If Spectre also catches Timbersaw alone, her Desolate passive adds even more pure damage that completely bypasses his armor stacks, ensuring he can't survive for more than a few seconds against her.
Timbersaw's strategy relies on being an unkillable mid-game force, but Spectre is durable enough to weather that timing. Once she has Haunt, she can instantly jump on Timbersaw whenever he uses Timber Chain aggressively, helping her team isolate and kill him. Later in the game, the matchup becomes impossible. Timbersaw cannot function as a durable frontline tank when the enemy carry kills him by default. He's forced into a position where he can't effectively cast his spells in a teamfight without killing himself.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Timbersaw's win rate against Spectre in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Timbersaw win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 40.38% | 317 |
| Crusader & Archon | 43.46% | 787 |
| Legend & Ancient | 39.32% | 702 |
| Divine & Immortal | 38.87% | 301 |
Timbersaw's win rate against Spectre in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Timbersaw win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 42.46% | ▲ +2.2pp | 796 |
| 7.41d | 40.25% | ▲ +0.4pp | 66,005 |
| 7.41c | 39.82% | ▲ +0.8pp | 25,102 |
| 7.41b | 38.97% | — | 19,011 |
Move this data into a draft
Timbersaw starts on Radiant and Spectre on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.