Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Lycan wins the Ancient Apparition vs Lycan matchup: Lycan beats Ancient Apparition in 51.19% of 1,592 ranked matches.
You might think Ancient Apparition’s Ice Blast is a hard counter to Lycan, but it's not that clean. The main problem is that Lycan doesn't really stand and fight in a way that lets AA set up. During Shapeshift, Lycan is incredibly fast and can run straight past the frontline to kill Ancient Apparition before a fight properly begins. Landing Ice Blast on a target moving that fast is a real challenge. Of course, if Lycan does get caught by a good ultimate, his ability to sustain through a fight is completely gone. It really comes down to whether Lycan can find and kill AA first, or if the AA can predict his movement and land the perfect shot.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ancient Apparition's win rate against Lycan in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ancient Apparition win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Crusader & Archon | 49.29% | 211 |
| Legend & Ancient | 41.38% | 203 |
Ancient Apparition's win rate against Lycan in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ancient Apparition win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.81% | ▼ -0.1pp | 1,592 |
| 7.41d | 48.95% | ▼ -0.4pp | 15,713 |
| 7.41c | 49.36% | ▼ -0.3pp | 7,545 |
| 7.41b | 49.68% | — | 5,815 |
Move this data into a draft
Ancient Apparition starts on Radiant and Lycan on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.