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Arc Warden vs Phantom Lancer

Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.

Favored
Phantom Lancer 52.73%
Arc Warden47.27%
Phantom Lancer52.73%
Over 880 ranked matches (7.41e).

In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Arc Warden vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Arc Warden in 52.73% of 880 ranked matches.

How this matchup plays

Seeing an Arc Warden picked often invites a Phantom Lancer response for a reason. Arc Warden relies on focused, single-target damage and control, but Phantom Lancer's entire kit is designed to counter that approach. His illusions constantly soak up Spark Wraith charges, making it impossible to land them on the real hero. Flux gets easily dispelled by Doppelganger or absorbed by a nearby illusion, and Magnetic Field provides little protection from a melee hero who can simply walk inside the bubble. It feels like every one of Arc Warden's primary tools has a built-in, direct answer from Phantom Lancer's spellbook.

In-game, this means Arc Warden has a very brief window to dominate his lane before Phantom Lancer gets his core items. Once PL has a way to generate illusions and close distance, he can aggressively hunt either the real Arc or the Tempest Double. The constant pressure from illusions and their mana drain makes it incredibly difficult for Arc Warden to farm or defend towers safely. His usual item builds often lack enough area damage to clear the swarm, forcing him into a defensive, reactive position for the rest of the match while trying to avoid getting caught out.

Arc Warden vs Phantom Lancer by rank

How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Arc Warden's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.

RankArc Warden win rateMatches
Herald & Guardian44.73%427
Crusader & Archon48.73%907
Legend & Ancient47.44%508
Divine & Immortal49.21%189

Arc Warden vs Phantom Lancer across patches

Arc Warden's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.

PatchArc Warden win rateChangeMatches
7.41e 47.27%▲ +2.6pp880
7.41d 44.63%▲ +0.3pp62,708
7.41c 44.32%▲ +1.8pp26,211
7.41b 42.49%26,279

Move this data into a draft

Put Arc Warden against Phantom Lancer

Arc Warden starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.

Radiant4 open
Arc Warden
Dire4 open
Phantom Lancer
Open with heroes loaded

Frequently asked questions

Does Arc Warden counter Phantom Lancer?
Arc Warden wins 47.27% of ranked matches against Phantom Lancer in Dota 2 7.41e (880 matches) — the matchup favors Phantom Lancer.
Does Phantom Lancer counter Arc Warden?
Phantom Lancer wins 52.73% of ranked matches against Arc Warden in Dota 2 7.41e (880 matches) — the matchup favors Phantom Lancer.
How many matches back the Arc Warden vs Phantom Lancer win rate?
880 quality-filtered ranked matches from patch 7.41e, refreshed as new matches are ingested daily.

Data updated Aug 11, 2026.