Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Earth Spirit vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Earth Spirit in 52.98% of 8,010 ranked matches.
Trying to lock down a slippery target is a frustrating experience for Earth Spirit. His entire combo relies on landing sequential, single-target spells, but Phantom Lancer makes this incredibly difficult. Spells like Boulder Smash or Geomagnetic Grip are easily wasted on an illusion, which PL creates constantly. Even if you manage to find the real hero, Phantom Lancer can use Doppelganger to disjoint the incoming stun from Rolling Boulder or simply reposition out of danger. This constant misdirection can leave Earth Spirit with all his cooldowns spent and the real threat still alive.
Early in the game, Earth Spirit can still create a lot of pressure and disrupt Phantom Lancer’s farm. His high mobility and burst damage are a real problem before PL can generate a strong army of illusions. Later on, however, the matchup flips. A farmed Phantom Lancer can overwhelm Earth Spirit, forcing him to use his ultimate, Magnetize, defensively to try and identify the real hero amongst the chaos. The fight often hinges on who gets the jump and whether PL can successfully dodge the initial lockdown.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Earth Spirit's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Earth Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 43.46% | 306 |
| Crusader & Archon | 50.43% | 1,176 |
| Legend & Ancient | 48.48% | 1,250 |
| Divine & Immortal | 48.93% | 652 |
Earth Spirit's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Earth Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 47.02% | ▼ -1.7pp | 8,010 |
| 7.41d | 48.75% | ▲ +0.8pp | 62,745 |
| 7.41c | 47.93% | ▼ -0.1pp | 23,190 |
| 7.41b | 47.98% | — | 21,173 |
Move this data into a draft
Earth Spirit starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.