Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Ember Spirit vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Ember Spirit in 51.91% of 9,741 ranked matches.
Clearing out illusions with Sleight of Fist is Ember Spirit's main plan against Phantom Lancer. Building items that add damage procs, like a Maelstrom, lets him melt the copies and find the real hero. This often forces PL to play more cautiously than he'd like. However, Phantom Lancer's Doppelgange is a perfect answer to Ember's lockdown. A well-timed use can dodge Searing Chains entirely, preventing the burst combo and letting PL reset the fight or escape. This creates a back-and-forth where neither hero has a guaranteed kill.
The overall game often feels like a race against the clock. Ember Spirit peaks in the mid-game, using Fire Remnants to apply pressure across the map and secure kills before PL gets his core items. If Ember and his team can build a big enough lead, they can end the game before Phantom Lancer becomes a problem. But if PL survives the mid-game pressure and farms up key survival items, the tables turn. A late-game PL is too durable for Ember to burst, and he can eventually overwhelm Ember's team with sheer numbers.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Ember Spirit's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Ember Spirit win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 47.31% | 484 |
| Crusader & Archon | 52.16% | 1,321 |
| Legend & Ancient | 50.63% | 1,349 |
| Divine & Immortal | 54.96% | 746 |
Ember Spirit's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Ember Spirit win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 48.09% | ▼ -1.4pp | 9,741 |
| 7.41d | 49.49% | ▲ +0.3pp | 93,912 |
| 7.41c | 49.17% | ▼ -0.5pp | 44,562 |
| 7.41b | 49.63% | — | 46,394 |
Move this data into a draft
Ember Spirit starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.