Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Lion vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Lion in 53.05% of 35,564 ranked matches.
Trying to burst down a target with Lion's single-target spells becomes a guessing game against Phantom Lancer. Both Hex and Finger of Death are powerful lockdown and nuke tools, but they're easily wasted on an illusion. This makes it difficult for Lion to reliably control or eliminate the real Phantom Lancer once a fight gets going and illusions are everywhere. Earth Spike can help find the real hero since illusions take more damage, but by the time you figure out which one it is, the opportunity might be gone.
This dynamic forces Lion to play reactively. Instead of initiating, he often has to wait for a teammate to reveal or stun the real Phantom Lancer first. If Lion can catch PL out of position early with a Blink Dagger before he can use Doppelganger, he can still do his job perfectly fine. The matchup hinges on whether Lion can find his moment for a clean pick-off or if Phantom Lancer can create enough chaos to make Lion's key spells ineffective.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lion's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lion win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 45.95% | 2,348 |
| Crusader & Archon | 48.28% | 5,772 |
| Legend & Ancient | 46.94% | 4,220 |
| Divine & Immortal | 46.58% | 1,331 |
Lion's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lion win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 46.95% | ▼ -0.6pp | 35,564 |
| 7.41d | 47.60% | ▼ -0.3pp | 387,846 |
| 7.41c | 47.94% | ▲ +0.2pp | 187,268 |
| 7.41b | 47.78% | — | 170,616 |
Move this data into a draft
Lion starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.