Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Lycan vs Phantom Lancer matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Lycan in 55.03% of 358 ranked matches.
Pushing a lane against Phantom Lancer feels impossible. His illusions constantly shove waves back, preventing Lycan from getting chip damage on towers or securing objectives with his pack. This stalls the game and forces Lycan into fights he can't win. All his summons, from the wolves to his Helm of the Overlord creep, are easily cleared out by a Phantom Lancer illusion army, which only feeds him more gold. In a direct fight, Shapeshift's single-target focus is completely wasted. Doppelganger lets him dodge the initial charge, and then Lycan is left trying to hit the right target in a sea of illusions while his ultimate timer runs out.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Lycan's win rate against Phantom Lancer in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Lycan win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 40.54% | 148 |
| Crusader & Archon | 42.19% | 320 |
| Legend & Ancient | 44.20% | 224 |
| Divine & Immortal | 47.65% | 149 |
Lycan's win rate against Phantom Lancer in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Lycan win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 44.97% | ▲ +2.3pp | 358 |
| 7.41d | 42.69% | ▼ -1.0pp | 23,481 |
| 7.41c | 43.69% | ▲ +0.3pp | 12,911 |
| 7.41b | 43.41% | — | 9,027 |
Move this data into a draft
Lycan starts on Radiant and Phantom Lancer on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 11, 2026.