Head-to-head Dota 2 7.41e win rate from ranked matches.
In Dota 2 7.41e, Phantom Lancer wins the Phantom Lancer vs Tinker matchup: Phantom Lancer beats Tinker in 56.53% of 8,521 ranked matches.
Trying to land a Laser and Heat-Seeking Missile combo on Phantom Lancer feels impossible. His illusions from Juxtapose and Doppelganger easily absorb the single-target damage, and the real hero can dispel the missile projectile entirely. While Tinker’s March of the Machines provides some area damage, it’s a static field that a mobile illusion army can often bypass. As the game goes on, Phantom Lancer's illusions become so durable that March struggles to clear them before they can swarm a target. Tinker's core damage pattern is simply poorly suited to fighting a hero who splits into multiple evasive copies.
This dynamic forces Tinker into a completely reactive posture. Instead of controlling the map, he has to play cautiously, afraid of being found by a stray illusion. Phantom Lancer can use his copies to scout the treelines where Tinker typically hides to Rearm. Once the real Tinker is located, a quick Phantom Rush closes the gap and there’s very little he can do to survive the ensuing swarm. Tinker’s usual game of farming from the shadows is shut down, as Phantom Lancer makes the entire map unsafe for him.
How the matchup shifts across skill brackets — Phantom Lancer's win rate against Tinker in recent ranked matches, split by average match rank. Ranks with too few recent matches are omitted. These rows use the last 30 days of quality-filtered ranked matches, all patches in that span combined — a wider window than the patch-scoped count above, so the per-rank match totals can exceed it.
| Rank | Phantom Lancer win rate | Matches |
|---|---|---|
| Herald & Guardian | 56.26% | 583 |
| Crusader & Archon | 57.57% | 1,315 |
| Legend & Ancient | 52.36% | 867 |
| Divine & Immortal | 51.06% | 331 |
Phantom Lancer's win rate against Tinker in each recent balance patch — whether this matchup is trending up or down. Patches without enough matches are omitted.
| Patch | Phantom Lancer win rate | Change | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.41e | 56.53% | ▲ +1.1pp | 8,521 |
| 7.41d | 55.41% | ▼ -0.6pp | 90,422 |
| 7.41c | 56.06% | ▼ -0.2pp | 39,045 |
| 7.41b | 56.27% | — | 32,343 |
Move this data into a draft
Phantom Lancer starts on Radiant and Tinker on Dire. Add the other eight picks to see whether this head-to-head edge survives the full draft.
Data updated Aug 17, 2026.